Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.081246 1.352132 1.651450 2.003489 2.403002 2.839265 3.348612
2025-02-09 0.611151 0.928954 1.323469 1.834430 2.464292 3.201865 4.117256
2025-02-16 0.346963 0.658969 1.097516 1.720807 2.547642 3.573599 4.909343
2025-02-23 0.207855 0.502430 0.971492 1.696886 2.720612 4.050852 5.847093
2025-03-02 0.115140 0.373123 0.845185 1.640074 2.829167 4.439485 6.683495
2025-03-09 0.075914 0.320978 0.824087 1.727494 3.136163 5.098554 7.891045
2025-03-16 0.041760 0.253801 0.755278 1.723369 3.301385 5.564916 8.854777
2025-03-23 0.028015 0.230512 0.762799 1.842959 3.655874 6.305490 10.207979
2025-03-30 0.016725 0.201759 0.749572 1.921089 3.946394 6.961792 11.460929
2025-04-06 0.008337 0.169286 0.716787 1.956147 4.165915 7.518719 12.586816
2025-04-13 0.002589 0.129144 0.648867 1.911595 4.247317 7.869837 13.427664
2025-04-20 0.000720 0.106905 0.619774 1.937789 4.444853 8.396952 14.526724
2025-04-27 0.000091 0.088892 0.597090 1.976921 4.671753 8.984407 15.740285
2025-05-04 NaN 0.062606 0.530701 1.909583 4.705341 9.274113 16.529298
2025-05-11 NaN 0.042610 0.470734 1.844107 4.734282 9.553956 17.307465
2025-05-18 NaN 0.031862 0.441338 1.845847 4.885264 10.029672 18.383652
2025-05-25 NaN 0.020932 0.396710 1.799425 4.939326 10.348182 19.228655
2025-06-01 NaN 0.018949 0.406698 1.899859 5.282718 11.146188 20.809913
2025-06-08 NaN 0.013332 0.381797 1.899316 5.425567 11.616463 21.900545
2025-06-15 NaN 0.012985 0.401562 2.029027 5.834263 12.535729 23.689076
2025-06-22 NaN 0.011232 0.405839 2.113486 6.154029 13.312217 25.268774
2025-06-29 NaN 0.008534 0.395147 2.151461 6.379840 13.935117 26.620455
2025-07-06 NaN 0.004844 0.358997 2.104241 6.426010 14.254556 27.507197